Friday, October 24, 2014

Why Buy?

The stock indexes are back up to the downtrend line established over the last few weeks.

And the question remains.

Why buy now? If you haven't bought stocks in the last five years, why buy now.

I think the bid will disappear again.

Time will tell.

Here is the news from DECK today.

GOOD NEWS!

here is the chart:
Hmmm. There seems to be a divergence.


gh

Thursday, October 23, 2014

DECK Weak

Deckers is weak intraday and seems to be rolling over. In the past I have used DECK as an indicator of what the Dow and thus the indexes are going to do.

Of course I ignore it when it doesn't match my expectations. Or maybe I am just more tuned in to it than I think I am.

As a swing trader I am anticipating a rise in the VXX again....

control your risk,
gh

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

TOP O' THE BOND MARKET?

Isn't it about time for the long bond bull to die?

I hear many people talking about deflation and how interest rates will be low for a long time.

Oil is down and gasoline is down. And OPEC is history....

Europe is down.

Gold and silver are down for the count, never to rise again.

There is no logical reason to short the long bond.

So. SHORT THE LONG BOND.


Add to positions as they move in your favor.
Control risk.
gh

Thursday, October 16, 2014

High Energy Prices Are Deflationary

As I've stated in the past. It seems to me that high prices of energy are in and of themselves deflationary. This is counterintuitive. But lower energy will stimulate people to move about and do things. And as they do this they spend money and get creative ideas. And then they borrow.

As long as this latest downtrend in energy prices is due to oversupply that is a good thing.

This may be the headfake traders are always on the lookout for. That last whiff of deflation sentiment that signals a bottom in prices......

I have always contended that high energy prices were deflationary.

Control your risk,

gh

One, Two, Three...

gh

How Could An ED Miss Ebola?

I work in an emergency department.

This is how they could miss the first case of an exotic disease in the country.

HOW COULD THEY MISS EBOLA?


We won't miss the next one.(s)

gh

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Two

Now it is two.

Groan.

TWO



gh

TBT

GH

Irrationality

Irrationality


And by the way. Did you know that silver kills germs.

I hesitate to mention this here on my allegedly serious site. But when I googled silver and Ebola I got many sites that showed how to concoct colloidal silver.

I don't know if it really would kill Ebola virus, but it is out there. And when I mentioned it to my wife she said she had noticed advertisements in the store, and mentions of colloidal silver on social pages.
Neither of us could be considered believers in alternative medicine.
But it wouldn't surprise me if a rumor could sweep the nation on the benefits of owning silver.

just thinking.

And the selloff in the markets seem to be getting rather irrational.

There has been one death in this country. And one transmission of the virus. ONE.

gh

Ebola v.

A link to Wikipeidia:

Ebola Virus


It has occurred to me that money passing from hand to hand may be a problem.

Clorox anyone?

In fact this may be another chronic problem, and that the recent stock weakness is a "shot over the bow".
After the initial shock, life will resume. With precautions.

gh