Easy Rider?

Lately I've been using Harley Davidson (HOG) as an indicator of strength or weakness in the small cap stocks. On a fundamental basis it seems that demographics must be working against Harleys as well as against the economy of the U.S.
How many baby boomers are left to buy a motorcycle? How many will want to buy one who have not bought on already?
China may be the next market. I do not know what stage that market is.
On a technical basis though the stock has been showing weakness similar to the markets in general.
A possible "head and shoulders" pattern is developing in HOG.
The chart:

Control risk!
gh